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January 2026 Energy Outlook

January 2026 Energy Outlook

Congress is racing to enact government funding bills ahead of the January 30th deadline, with six appropriations bills already passed and the remaining six expected to clear the Senate the week of January 26th — making a shutdown unlikely despite a shrinking House Republican majority that complicates even routine votes. This month’s outlook previews early Republican groundwork on a potential second reconciliation package with aggressive energy priorities, rising trade policy risk as the Supreme Court prepares to rule on existing tariffs, and continued bipartisan momentum on critical minerals legislation alongside the Administration’s Section 232 actions. We also cover active committee engagement on grid reliability, cybersecurity, supply chain exposure, and AI governance, as well as the stalled state of bipartisan permitting reform talks following Interior’s pause on large-scale offshore wind leases. Download the full report below for RFA’s complete take on the work period ahead.